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KCUG Wealth Insights : Monthly Newsletter : October 2025

on October 09, 2025

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How India-Pakistan Tensions Impact the Stock Market: A Historical Analysis

How India-Pakistan Tensions Impact the Stock Market: A Historical Analysis Whenever geopolitical tensions rise—especially between India and Pakistan—investors often ask: What happens to the market? Should I stay invested? Should I exit? The emotional response is understandable. War or military conflict brings uncertainty, and markets hate uncertainty. But when we analyze past data, the story might surprise you. Historical Data: Nifty50’s Performance Around India-Pak Events Let’s analyze how the Nifty50 index has reacted to some of the most notable Indo-Pak conflict events over the past few decades: What the Data Tells Us 1. Short-Term Shock, Long-Term Recovery: Most events triggered minor to moderate declines or volatility in the 1-month window. However, in 4 out of 5 cases, the market gave positive returns in the 6- and 12-month periods following the event. 2. Exception – 2001 Parliament Attack: This is the only event after which the Nifty50 remained negative even 12 months later. It ...

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KCUG Wealth Insights : Monthly Newsletter : October 2025

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